Predict the league competition

shoddycollins

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Back when we did this on the old forum I decided to work out what the average prediction was for all the forum members who predicted the league. The upshot of this is that I have a spreadsheet with everyone's predictions (well those who posted predictions into the forum, I think some people may have sent theirs by pm to Richie). Would people be interested in me working out the results of these.

I can't remember the scoring system, was it just one point for each place out each team is?
 

Boz

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#4
That would be good. I know that I got things pretty wrong at the bottom end of the table, slightly closer to reality at the top.
 

Sergei from IT

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#11
Back when we did this on the old forum I decided to work out what the average prediction was for all the forum members who predicted the league. The upshot of this is that I have a spreadsheet with everyone's predictions (well those who posted predictions into the forum, I think some people may have sent theirs by pm to Richie). Would people be interested in me working out the results of these.

I can't remember the scoring system, was it just one point for each place out each team is?
It was indeed. And I also have a complete list of everybodies predictions on a spread sheet.

Just to start the ball rolling - I have 152 points at the end of the season. Not very good.
For some inexplicable reason I had Oxford to top the table.

Ah well - there is always next year.
 

shoddycollins

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Just working this out now. It'll be a little while, but here's a little teaser... average error.

The average error is the difference between the team's actual position and the average that forum members predicted them. It is the average number of points that team cost people (you get a point for each position out your prediction was, for each team, lower points totals are ranked higher).

As you can see... Wycombe cost a lot of people a lot of points, they're top of the average error table... by a mile. And below Newport, the predictions become a lot closer to reality



EDIT: It'll be tomorrow, once I've finished work... I managed to break the spreadsheet.
 
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shoddycollins

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Brain refused to wake up today, I'll try again tomorrow. Yeah I knew deep down it was a bad idea, I had them 7th myself but then you knew putting Oxford top wouldn't help your cause
 

3Loggerheads

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#20
I say again...........................................................................................................................................
 
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#23
really.... ....... annoyed with myself for not keeping a record of my predicted table from the previous site!
3 Loggerheads
Accrington 22
Burton 2
Bury 1
Cambridge 19
Carlisle 5
Cheltenham 13
Dag & Red 20
Exeter 21
Hartlepool 23
Luton 9
Mansfield 17
Morecambe 24
Newport 18
Northampton 11
Oxford 16
Plymouth 6
Portsmouth 4
Shrewsbury 3
Southend 8
Stevenage 7
Tranmere 14
Wimbledon 10
Wycombe 15
York 12
 
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#24
This is the list of people I have predictions for


Womble
Ref Womble
McShambles
Shoe Army
TRFC Fan
CUFC17
Fareham Blue
Salop TID
Shakerite
Big Chapps
Ben ctfc
Womble 76
TRFCRGoinup
Love PAFC
Grecian O Grecian
3 Loggerheads
Lloydie
Kenny End
Simply Devine
Ross Boro
Pogogacy
Bunty F Smyth
Chippy
South Coast Blues
Jason ECFC
dp ntfc
Red Hot Shot
Rise of the Hatters
Vanni
Hudds Moose
ECFC70
The Goblin
North Stand Exile
Fedora Dale
iWomble
Reginald Fodstain
LewisR-R
Diamonds Back
Leon the Green
Laker
Womble Charlie
WH Stag
Mr Wonderful
TS Quaker
Boz
Don Tonberry
The J Dizzle
Richard Cranium
Red Hybrid
Alan Partridge
Ned Stark
The Terraceman
Wasi
Ann O Rack
Chip Butty
Stevedw62
R1ch1e
Arbury cufc
The Hask
Morecambe Red
Alan Stag
Wii not fit
Pride of Notts
Lee Wilson
Nick the dagger
Cheese and Biscuits
Wobbler
Shrimper 95
Shoddy Collins
Sergei from IT

If you want me to work out your score and added to the ones I have done let me know.
So far the ones I have done are

3 Loggerheads 132
Vanni 150
Sergei from IT 152
ShoddyCollins 152
 

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