Definitely ahead, new ball tomorrow. I'd expect Haddin to provide some firepower for Australia, but even with that I'd like to think England can build up a large enough lead quickly to give us plenty of time to bowl them out again.
Well done to the selectors for sticking to their guns with their team selection for this game. Moeen is hopefully getting back to his "Beard to be feared" form of last summer, today can only have given his confidence a big boost.
England are in a decent position but it should be remembered how many times we had the convicts five down in the last series only for them to manage to wriggle off the hook. Largely aided and abetted by the nemesis of English bowlers, Brad Haddin, who is still to bat in this innings.
That said, hopefully old man Haddin's batting form will mirror his creaking performance behind the stumps in this game.
If we are living in an ideal world, as we have done so far today.. Cook and Lyth get us to say 120-1. That's effectively 250-1. At that point, there will be no better opportunity for Bell and Ballance to hit themselves back into form and rhythm. No better opportunity. If we do get that sort of balance, it's time to start hitting out a bit, seeing if we can score at 5 an over. Maybe give some wickets away but we'd score enough runs to make an Aussie victory effectively impossible. 4-5 an over through 90 odd overs takes us to tommorrows dinner - We'd have almost 500 on the board then.
5 sessions at them on hopefully a low, slow, uneven wicket that may spin.
I'm not excusing Bell's form by any means, but it can't be easy for him when he comes in every innings with us on a low total with a few wickets down. He's under massive pressure every time he comes into bat, and this innings is under team and individual pressure, he needs a score soon.
It's kind of Lyth's game though, he battles through, he's not one of those bastmen that either looks on form or not, like an Ian Bell type. If he can overcome the odd shaky period he's not going to give his wicket away and can easily recover. Seen him do it for Yorks loads, you don't think he's owt special and then a few hours later he's got another big score.
Top order needs sorting though, Ballance is a ferret at present and this is a big innings for Bell. Moving Root up and bringing Bairstow in or introducing Hales/Westley/Leaning all seem like preferable options at present, despite their inexperience.