The Real League Table 2014-2015

[George Reilly's Hairpiece]

As at 18/04/2015 - Week 45
105 2011 Champions - Crawley Town
104
103 2012 Champions - Fleetwood Town
102
101 2014 Champions - Luton Town
100
99 2010 Champions - Stevenage
98
97
96
95 2013 Champions - Mansfield Town
94
93
92 Certain Champions; Predicted Champions (90,89,88,89,88,90,87,88)
91 Predicted Runner-up (90,89,88,86,88,86,83,82)
90
89 Barnet +46
88 Bristol Rovers +32
87
86
85
84
83 Grimsby +32
82
81
80 Certain Play-offs
79 Eastleigh +25; Predicted Play-offs (78, 77,75,78,76,79,77,75,74,73)
78 Forest Green +26
77 Macclesfield +14; 2012 Play-offs
76
75 2014 Play-offs
74
73 Woking +24; 2011 Play-offs
72
71 2013 Play-offs
70
69
68
67 Dover +11; 2010 Play-offs
66 Halifax +7; Gateshead +6
65
64
63
62 Wrexham 3,1
61
60 Torquay 4; Chester -14
59
58
57 Kidderminster -8; Lincoln -9
56 Braintree -3; Altrincham -17
55
54
53
52 Aldershot -8,1; 2014 Safety
51
50
49
48 Certain Safety; Southport -26
47 2012 Safety; 2011 Safety; 2010 Safety
46 Predicted Safety (44,45,44,46.44,45,46,47,49,46)
45 Welling -20; Alfreton -34
44
43
42
41
40
39 Telford -25
38 Dartford -30
37
36 Nuneaton -36

You wanted it, you got it. You didn't know you wanted it, you got it anyway. Didn't want it? You still got it. The Mona Lisa of football tables, the Real League Table shows the table as a ladder, giving a visual reflection of how spaced out the table is.

The numbers after the team's name show the goal difference and then the number of games in hand (this being based on the maximum number of games played at that time). So for example, Eastleigh have a positive goal difference of 25 and have no games in hand to catch up to the 45 games played by all those with no games in hand.

The predictions are based upon the forecasted table at http://www.statto.com/football/ratings/england/conference
Previous year play-off and safety numbers ignore any points deductions in those years and represent the number of points needed to either make the play-offs or stay up.

I'll update this table as we go on and where the predictions change, the previous expected points will appear after the title, i.e 89 Predicted Champions 92,91,90.

I'm sure there is the odd error or omission, so let me know.

 

[George Reilly's Hairpiece]

Update following yesterday's games.

Really tightening up around the last play-off place, although the games in hand might unwind it somewhat.

The safety line has move three points higher due to Alfreton's great result, with Welling and Aldershot looking under threat to a Reds revival.

 

[GodsGift]

Bloody hell look at us right in the mix of that playoff bunch.

 

[CrazyImp]

We've got Woking, Halifax, Eastleigh, Dover and FGR all still to play at SB, which is a major, major advantage for us. Hard to back against us should we win the majority of those.

 

[George Reilly's Hairpiece]

A truncated set of fixtures due to the Trophy and the weather.

Those in action in the top 4 took advantage, whilst Kidderminster slipped up at Chester.

The games in hand are continue to pile up...

 

[The_Boss]

Something I don't understand about this:

"72 Predicted Play-Offs (73)"

Is the number in brackets meant to represent how many points needed to make this years play offs? If so, why's it next to 72 points?!!

 

[George Reilly's Hairpiece]

The predictions are based upon the forecasted table at http://www.statto.co...ference-premier
Previous year play-off and safety numbers ignore any points deductions in those years and represent the number of points needed to either make the play-offs or stay up.

I'll update this table as we go on and where the predictions change, the previous expected points will appear after the title, i.e 89 Predicted Champions 92,91,90.

The number in the brackets is the previous forecast number. So the forecast was saying that it would take 73 points to make the play-offs. It's now been revised down to only 72 based on recent results.

 

[The_Boss]

Ah right, I see. Was it always 73 or has that number come down from a higher figure at all?

I think 90 points will win the league by a couple, but then quite a wide spread down to 5th.

 

[George Reilly's Hairpiece]

It was 73 from when I started the table, so has only moved once from that figure.

 

[George Reilly's Hairpiece]

Updated after last night's games.

Grimsby keep their title aspirations alive following their good win at Eastleigh. Eastleigh look resigned to having to scrap for a play-off berth. Halifax halt Telford's revival and strengthen their own claim for the play-off mix as do Chester. Their thumping of Lincoln sees them throw their hat into the ring, a ring that's not lacking in hats to begin with.

 

[ShrewdBlue]

Think playoffs is a bit beyond us especially as we've played the maximum 32 games so far. Stranger things have happened though and this is a weird league.

 

[F Side Rat]

Spent all year saying that Aldershot would have too much to go down. But this has me reconsidering.
Didn't realise they were in that much trouble.

 

[George Reilly's Hairpiece]

Updated after yesterday's games.

The play-offs become even more congested following yesterday's results. Lincoln and Dover will look to strengthen their claims on Tuesday against Alfreton and Grimsby respectively, although they will be both be desperate for points for differing reasons... weather permitting.

 

[George Reilly's Hairpiece]

Updated following yesterday's games.

Bristol Rovers are the big winners following their good win at Grimsby and the jump Macclesfield following their draw as Southport. Barnet lose away from home again and the gap is down to 4.

Halifax keep their play-off charge going with their third win on the bounce.

Dartford and Nuneaton keep their survival hopes alive following good wins. Welling make it 6 defeats in a row.

 

[Lew]

So is the current predicted points for safety 45pts, which has decreased from 49?

 

[DarkSithLord]

So is the current predicted points for safety 45pts, which has decreased from 49?

Thats as I read it too.

 

[Cardsfan]

So is the current predicted points for safety 45pts, which has decreased from 49?

Its currently 47 mate, went from 49-46-45-47

 

[DarkSithLord]

Its currently 47 mate, went from 49-46-45-47

Ah. Ok Thanks for clearing it up.

 

[George Reilly's Hairpiece]

Updated after yesterday's matches.

The gap at the top is all but gone as Bristol Rovers win and Barnet lose. The forecast now has the title heading to Bristol by a point.

The play-off picture is still up in the air as games in hand muddy the waters.

Aldershot's massive win at Alfreton buys them some much needed breathing space.

 

[George Reilly's Hairpiece]

Updated after the weekend's games.

Bristol Rovers and Barnet both come away with good wins on the road whilst Macclesfield are the big losers at the top. The play-off picture is starting to take shape with only Eastleigh and Halifax realistically pushing those currently occupying those places.

At the bottom Telford look doomed, but Dartford and Nuneaton are keeping the sides just above them honest after starting to pick up points in recent games.

 

[Cardsfan]

So we "need" 8 wins from 12. A lot better than I thought

 

[springerbfc]

Rovers need to end this little winning streak to keep us in the game.

Two big rounds of fixtures coming up and hopefully one of Eastleigh or Halifax will put a dent in Rovers form, allowing us to sneak back into top spot.

 

[Gassy]

I'm sure we'll drop a few points between the 2. Got a feeling it will be Eastleigh myself. You're still top in my mind, with the game in hand and all

 

[Gashead]

Rovers need to end this little winning streak to keep us in the game.

Two big rounds of fixtures coming up and hopefully one of Eastleigh or Halifax will put a dent in Rovers form, allowing us to sneak back into top spot.

I think your biggest tests are the next two games, win those and your blip is well and truly over. As I've said all along, got some very favourable fixtures after those two.

 

[DoorBuzzer]

I'm sure we'll drop a few points between the 2. Got a feeling it will be Eastleigh myself. You're still top in my mind, with the game in hand and all

I've been predicting you would drop points for weeks but you just keep powering on. I can't see your winning streak ending against Eastleigh, especially as you are at home and tend to do better against the stronger teams in this division. 3 points in the bag.

 

[springerbfc]

Eastleigh score goals and if they can breach the Rovers back line just once, they may have a good chance of picking something up.

 

[BeesKnees]

did we lose an update along the way?
Prediction on Statto is now winners finishing on 88, with 87 for runner up. Playoffs 77 pts and relegation 45

 

[George Reilly's Hairpiece]

I'm sure I did this on Sunday morning.

 

[Cardsfan]

I'm sure I did this on Sunday morning.

All of Sunday's posts were deleted mate as the site got hacked.

 

[George Reilly's Hairpiece]

Ah cheers, that explains it.

Ok, I'll try and redo ahead of the games this evening.