- Jan 17, 2015
- Reaction score
- Ipswich Town
Top Technique To Predict a Soccer Match Result
Predicting the result of a soccer match is famously tricky, with the sport arguably one of the most unpredictable of them all.
Even games where one team is an overwhelming favorite to win can go the other way, and literally, anything can happen out there on the pitch.
With factors such as the weather on the day and even the condition of the grass, having an impact on the result, it is tough to guess the result accurately.
But soccer fans who want to have a bet can rely on several top techniques to predict a soccer match result. Let's take a look at some of them now.
Use Data (The Right Data)
The rise of statistics in football has been one of the sport's most significant trends of recent years.
This has had an impact in the world of betting, where bookmakers increasingly use data to come up with the prices they list on their markets.
Soccer fans should also be keyed into data to try to spot where value can be found. And fantastic tools like Odds Provided by ATS.io
Data such as expected goals can help to predict the result of an upcoming match. Expected goals - or just xG for short - is a measure of data used to show the quality of chances created.
Teams with higher xG will typically outperform those with a lower xG number even if the league table does not always reflect these numbers. Teams with high xG who are playing poorly will usually turn their form around, while clubs going well with a low xG may later fall away.
Not everyone likes data, of course, but it is clear there is a lot of importance placed on statistics in the industry by those compiling today's soccer predictions. Those who opt to go with their gut may find the data used by sports bookies, and other punters allow them to get one step ahead.
Study The Form Of Books
As well as specific data, the form of the teams involved plays a key role in the result.
If a team is struggling to score goals, they are naturally going to find it hard to win matches, while those who are keeping a lot of clean sheets will have a much better chance.
Teams might have a player who is in a great run of form in front of goal. Strikers are streaky in a lot of cases and might go on a sequence of netting in seemingly every single game they play.
The form can help to predict soccer results, but there are certain matches where recent score lines do not have a significant factor. Big derby games, for example, are amongst those where the form book is "out of the window."
But, just as in betting on horse racing or other sports, studying the form book is very important.
Head-to-head records can also be useful, although in some cases, such as in fixtures that have not been played for a long time, they are not always going to be very relevant.
Some teams might have what is known as a 'bogey club,' which means one they tend to struggle against for whatever reason. The flip side is some sides always seem to come out on top when they face a particular opponent. These trends are well worth learning about.
Stay Updated With All The Latest News
Predicting the result of a match means knowing everything about that particular game.
For instance, if a player is going to miss out due to suspension, this could have a big impact on their team's ability to win the match. Perhaps their likely replacement has not played a lot of games of late and is a little rusty.
A team's top scorer may be carrying an injury and a doubt to start the game as a result. Bookies take this information into account, too, so all these details will affect odds that are up for grabs.
Of course, it is impossible to know everything about every single game football fans want to bet on, but it is clear that the more research a person does, the better chance they have of accurately predicting a result.